Only when we can get the field breakdown for the next event.
EV(x) = matchup%(x vs. deck1) * field%(deck1)
+ matchup%(x vs. deck2) * field%(deck2)
+ matchup%(x vs. deck3) * field%(deck3)
+ ...
+ matchup%(x vs. deckN) * field%(deckN)
So for every deck in the field, we need to know how likely you are to get paired against it and how likely you are to win if you do.
Asking for the EV for the next event makes me giggle. It's like asking for predicting the future :-). You can however try to calculate it based on your metagame prediction. That won't be very accurate though...
The seven cardinal sins of Legacy:
1. Discuss the unbanning ofLand TaxEarthcraft.
2. Argue that banning Force of Will would make the format healthier.
3. Play Brainstorm without Fetchlands.
4. Stifle Standstill.
5. Think that Gaea's Blessing will make you Solidarity-proof.
6. Pass priority after playing Infernal Tutor.
7. Fail to playtest against Nourishing Lich (coZ iT wIlL gEt U!).
That's why I asked in the previous post if the EV you were comparing to was from the previous event. As it's name is Expected Value, I'd figure you were using the EV calculated from the previous event to check if in the next event, the value was similar to the % of wins against the field. I reckon I didn't knew if it was from the current or previous event.
If you fail to explain the reason behind your choice, technically, it's the wrong choice.
Zerk Thread -- Really, fun deck! ^^
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