I don't, but Kennen Haas have been playing Jund Depths for a long ass time, and it might be this list then:
http://sales.starcitygames.com//deck...?DeckID=113746
I'm crossing my fingers for countryside crusher and terravore loam. The real tier 0.
My impression was that Lion's Eye Diamond had a pretty good Day 2 conversion rate, but apparently it had an abysmal Day 2 to Top 64 conversion rate.
"I'm willing to imagine a TES where Past in Flames replaces Ill-Gotten Gains entirely, and we just don't play Diminishing Returns." - me, 29/09/2011
Founding member of Team Scrubbad: Legacy Legends
This sort of thing happens a lot. It is actually a function of the way that a tournament will progress, not an Abby Normal event.
Given:
a large enough tournament
even skill level
a variety of decks
The distribution of decks making up the top cohort will cycle as rounds are played. Some decks aren't good enough to be in the cycle, so they fall away as rounds pass.
If deck A is the largest component of the cohort now, it will not be after a number of rounds, then it becomes the largest part of the cohort again several rounds later if it belongs in the cycle.
There can be instances of stability, but they don't tend to occur naturally. Something along the lines of having 5 decks with exactly the same win probability to the field strangling out the other decks.
I had a bit of fun about 10 years ago with an excel model and these were some of the findings.
Small correction 50th place kevin besta was on punishing jund.
I could be wrong but top 64 looks much less diverse post top banning.
Tusk Up
I'm very much enjoying the post-Top world, but this stretch of decks is pretty embarrassing:
25 Bogucki, Woodrow [US] BUG Delver
26 Ogawa, Satoshi [JP] 4C Loam
27 Dominguez, Javier [ES] Hymn BUG Delver
28 Li, Richard [CA] Grixis Delver
29 Graves, Robert [US] Elves
30 (5) Duke, Reid [US] Elves
31 Huschenbeth, Arne [DE] BUG Delver
32 Phraner, Ryan [US] Grixis Delver
33 Eliatamby, Charles [XE] Grixis Delver
34 Huynh, Anthony [US] BUG Delver
35 Stoute, Terry [US] Grixis Delver
I disagree completely. There is clearly not an oppressive force. Delver's total share (31% of top 16) seems about right given the number of people who play it. The top 64 is also all people who did roughly as well as one another (within a single point for most of them) so we're splitting hairs.
7 deck arches in the top 8 and 9-10 in the top 16. That's not bad at all. And nothing in the top 64 says "You have to run colors X and Y to fight deck X" which is big. In terms of color diversity we see UBgr, UWGb, UWr, BUG, RUG, BUR, GRB, GB, UW, UR, UB, UG, <>, W, G, U
I think the only things missing that people play are GBW, BW(g), B, R; which aside from Burn, make up like.. 8% of the meta or something ridiculous and it's not surprising that these decks who's best consistency engines are Bob, Library, Guile, GSZ, or Oath of Nissa stacked on top of grindy-CA plans don't pan out in 14 rounds or w/e.
I think that's pretty good. We see grave strats, dude-strats, control strats of both the Miracles, D&T, and the 4-color style, combo in various forms (UR, BUG, depths), and we see FOUR competing Delver archtypes represented; which is awesome. We only know that Tempo works; no indication that a single Tempo is dominating out of them; especially given the fringe numbers RUG or UR were experiencing by comparison to Grixis or even BUG.
Even after 14 rounds we see a blown-open meta IMO; and on top of that? We see Elves, Grixis, D&T, and TNN strats alive despite people expecting it; which means I don't think we're going to see a clear downfall of these decks soon. It feels like all the waiting has produced, IMO, more evidence that Legacy is the most open it's been in the 5-6 years I've been in the format.
Top 32 from each GP
Grand Prix Louisville
======================
7 Miracle Control
6 Sneak Attack
3 Team America
3 4C Delver
2 Reanimator
2 Grixis Pyromancer
2 Infect
1 BUG True-Name
1 Death and Taxes
1 Lands
1 Food Chain
1 UGR Threshold
1 4c Control
1 Dark Depths
Grand Prix Las Vegas
=====================
5 Grixis Pyromancer
3 Elves
3 Team America
2 Blade Control
2 Neo-Miracles
2 Sneak Attack
2 Lands
2 4C Control
1 Grixis Control
1 Reanimator
1 Death and Taxes
1 UR Burn
1 UGR Threshold
1 DeathBlade
1 BUG Control
1 Dark Depths
1 Aluren
1 Infect
1 4C Loam
"Good, bad, I'm the guy with the gun." --Ash
Not sure if I am supposed to be impressed here, but looks a little better.
Tusk Up
People sometimes find so-called "card breakdowns" (ie, how many of each card there were) useful. Without the lists, we can't make a 100% accurate breakdown but with the deck names, we can certainly make an educated guess.
So here you go: http://lonestarlhurgoyfs.com/2017-06...ard-Breakdown/
Don't complain to me about methodology. I do not care. I made this because I was bored and thought it might provide useful or interesting information.
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