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http://theepicstorm.com/storm-data-comparison/
Rite of Flames is a better card than Cabal Ritual. Nice work Bryant.
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I really appreciate you running data. What the data really say though is that you won more % of games playing TES than Brandon did playing ANT.
Abf that both of your win-percentages are very impressive.
The only real difference I see is that TES has what appears to be a statistically significant advantage against Chalice decks, TES 58% match win vs ANT 46%. Mulligan seems slightly significant with TES 4% over ANT. TES's games were against a slightly favored field (non-Blue and Rogue) and won 3% more die rolls, and the deck wins about the same games when on the play. ANT lost the majority of die rolls and plays worse overall on the draw, but I didn't look how to see those draw games were broken down. It won on the draw more against blue and non-blue but had horrendous Chalice draw %.
With the variation in the game and data I'd put significance around 3-5%.
TES is much more favored to win in paper than ANT, 75% in paper TES vs 62% in paper ANT. Overall wins were roughly the same, 64% overall TES - 62% overall ANT.
So if you're playing in paper in a meta with Chalice and have loaded dice, play TES.
Still an impressive amount of data, and interesting to see how reliant ANT is on Past in Flames.
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