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stereosound
06-26-2009, 12:53 PM
Hey guys, I was wondering if there was anything out there that exists like that. What i'm thinking is, you input your decklist, and you can customize your probability outputs to see if your deck is balanced enough.

Of course it would feature all the normal calculations everyone seems to know off the back of your hand (If I run 4/3/2/1 of something, what's my chance of getting it in my opening hand, in one draw, by turn 3 etc).

I'm thinking of some other cool ones though: prob. you'll have a land for x turns, prob you'll have a drop for that turn that you can play, chances of drawing sets of cards (thinking an and/or list here), chance you'll have a drop for turns 1,2,3,etc, chance you'll have the correct mana to play a card in X turns, etc.

I might venture into excel if something like this hasn't been done yet but I wanted to see if it does exist before I spend the time making it ^^

Taurelin
06-26-2009, 01:05 PM
MWS (http://www.magicworkstation.com/downloads.php)

-> Tools -> Deep Deck Analysis

cdr
06-26-2009, 01:06 PM
It's been done. MTGO has the basics.

AngryTroll
06-26-2009, 02:07 PM
You could do it yourself with a Monte Carlo approach pretty easily too, using MATLAB or something like it.

Well, I guess 'Pretty Easily' is a relative term.

But you could easily enter your deck size, how many of the card you wanted, and then tell you the odds of having it in a 6, 7, 8, 9, or 10 card hand pretty easily. Adding Fetchlands would be more difficult.

Or, you know, just use MTGO.

stereosound
06-26-2009, 02:16 PM
I don't play MTGO, but I'm gonna check out MWS's deep deck analysis tonight when I get home. I'd just like something to do some and/or statistical tests in X amount of turns with card draws factored in. Infact, everything else is sort of just a short-cut to get there. If I had a program that say a 10x10 grid of boxes with and/or's between lines to compare across, I'd be set.