Originally Posted by
Parcher
Excellent post, btw.
I think option two is best.
First, I don't like cutting Firestorm right now. In addition to Nic Fit, Maverick, and of course, the Tribal(Elves, Goblins, Merfolk) decks, I've also seem quite a few BUG decks with MD Deathrite, and SB Hate. As well as some new Junk decks popping up with MD Deathrite, as well as MD Knight and Ooze. It's also surprisingly effective against RUG, since their primary plan is to counter all of your discard outlets. And Delver is very hard to block for Dredge.
6 permanent removal seems plenty. Especially considering you have the extra colored sources to support both them, and the additional spells you will need to resolve after removing LED post-board.
I'm not 100% on the Ashen Ghoul plan any longer. The decks running Extraction are wise to it. And the Blade decks really don't have much trouble dealing with them. The only way I've found it effective is in conjunction with a DR package. Which, of course, no deck has room to run in conjunction with all of the aforementioned cards. They still beat U/R, and the idiots running Surgical in RUG, so they are fine to keep. But if you are seeing a bunch of decks with Snap+Surgical as indicated, you might want to switch a Chain or two over to Grudge. This will allow full use of your Ghouls through Equipment, or stuff like Ensnaring Bridge(Burn,Tezz, and Miracles). You'll only have four cards for RIP and/or Leyline, but I assume like in most metas, that they are not widely seen right now.
I assume you're running no DR main? In that case, I really wouldn't bother with the Flayer package. It's really only viable maindeck. The only way I would bother with DR in the SB is if you expect Combo. Then, running something like Iona or FKZ allows you to prevent them from topdecking a win. Which is also a viable plan aganst decks with Top, but more difficult to implement since they have direct hate that Combo won't. But having 2-3 slots against Storm, or the mirror is a pretty good reward for the investment. And you can also use them very effectively against something like Miracles, where you will usually have one free turn after you remove their hate, in which to do as much "damage" as possible before they Terminus or Top for another answer that you never get the chance to discard. Iona shuts their whole deck down, as it does against most Combo, and to a lesser extent, Tribal. But considering the proposed SB, you'd have to trim a Breakthrough, Thug, or PImp to fit it. Just depends on what you expect to see.