Sorry, was typing in a rush. Meant to say we are favored to draw it in the opener rather than not. Tho 4 Leylines is 53% over 2 games(right?) and 3 Leylines is 38% which is probably significant.
IDK, I feel like 4 slots is too much to devote to any one strategy. Blue decks have access to brainstorm/ponder so they can play a smaller number of trump cards, and most non-blue decks are either linear or have clear strengths and weaknesses. Meanwhile we are kind of a jack-of-all-trades so we end up in this situation where you want cards for every way that you can lose the game (Leyline for GY combo, canonist for Storm combo, Deluge for decks that out-creature you, Plow for decks that out-efficiency you, walkers for decks that outgrind you). Decks like Dragon stompy only lose a couple of ways, so they only can play 4 Leyline, 4 Ensnaring Bridge, 4 Sudden Shock, 3Volcanic Fallout or something of the sort. We have to take all comers, and can't really advance a proactive gameplan through whatever the opponent is doing.
Does anyone else feel similarly?