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It's a good thing you bring so much to the thread. I mean lists of 2/3's for 1 are so innovative that the format clearly can't deal with it. Also using Relic of Progenitus when you're playing Tarmogoyfs and Grim Lavamancers is a combo I'm sure people haven't considered at all.Quote:
Originally Posted by Capt4in
@ Capt4in
thank you for that in-depth analysis of the matchups. I do want to point out that the metagame is evolving into something midrangey/grindy-ish, with the BG package as flavour of the month. I do agree with you that Knight is a horrible card to play in the deck. Not just right now because its soft to DRS and decays, but also in general because its way too slow and does a lot less in zoo than it does in decks like maverick. Zoo's goal is to aggressively clock an opponent, with every creature presenting an immediate threat. Knight just doesn't cut it.
as for thalia, I think she hurts us quite a lot, and we should be looking elsewhere for combo hate. I tested it back when it first came out and it felt really frustrating when i had to cast POPs/Lightning Helixes for 3. Hell i'd even consider gaddock teeg over thalia if there was a gun to my head, at least he screws with stuff like green sun's zenith (maverick was big back then if i recall properly).
@ tension between Capt4in and Esper3k
I can understand where both of you are coming from. To Capt4in, I do agree its not constructive to bring up bad cards (yeah I admit, I agree that they are bad) into the discussion, but with no disrespect to Esper3k's experience with the deck, sometimes people are actually sincerely clueless about specific cards. A little bit of patience could go a long way. I'm also a longtime player of the lands deck and we have newbies bring up bad cards all the time...trust me. It doesn't help discussion, but these guys are really clueless so theyre not at fault either. Usually we explain to them and they're on their way.
To Esper3k, its not very nice of you to troll either (yes you were trolling, with the whole blue cards thing). I don't know Capt4in personally, but I've read his posts and they make sense. It is somewhat true that some of the cards you mentioned (legion loyalist for example), aren't going to help it. The sensible thing to do is to actually try it out first and report your findings. Anyone can throw out ideas but you gotta back that up with results to show for. Remember that we are playing legacy here, and this format is pretty unforgiving. I know some players who tried to make the jump from modern to legacy and their sense of card evaluation made me raise my eyebrows quite a bit. Perhaps you want to post a decklist of what you're currently sitting on and justify your card choices like the chap here (Vandalize) did? That way we could understand your train of thought better, as opposed to just saying X or Y looks good, maybe we can use it.
To sum up, we already have so few people trying to make this work, its pretty sad if even the few of us here can't get along...
@Vandalize
thank you for the findings. This is a good discussion point.
Just wanted to point out that a good RUG player knows how to hold back his counters for POP. Their wastelands could cause problems, so don't feel too ashamed to keep land heavy hands.
I'm not too sure about the jund matchup, I would actually label it as unfavourable. they can rip our hand, kill our creatures, and have inevitability through CA. Considering everyone and his mom seems to have jund at the moment, verifying this through more playtesting is critical. I'll follow-up on this over the weekend when I head down to the shop and report my findings.
@cards in gatecrash
On a side note, I feel like none of the cards in gatecrash make the cut for zoo. Its a shame because I had high hopes for gruul. perhaps a teeny bit too high. Even Kird ape doesn't always make the cut.
I did cast a second glance at loxodon smiter bac in RTR, but decided he's not good enough. Most of the time he's just going to be a smaller goyf.
bad cards in GTC (imo): skyknight legionaire, domri rade, skaarg guildmage, sunhome guildmage, truefire paladin, boros reckoner, burning tree emissary, experiment one, slaughterhorn, frontline medic (great in standard though).
Are you confusing me possibly with someone else? I've made no comment at all about blue cards...Quote:
Originally Posted by movingtonewao
I disagree with Capt4in's reasoning and of course, his attempt to come onto the thread having posted zero results of his own list and trying to denigrate the suggestions of others. As Vandalize pointed out, cards like Relic of Progenitus are tough for Zoo to play because you simply can't afford to shrink your 'Goyfs to 0/1's and eat your Lavamancer's food. An "experienced" Zoo player should know that.
What I'm saying is that Zoo has been a pretty dead deck for a long time in Legacy now. Putting up the same generic stock list and avoiding any discussion for anything new isn't going to push the deck forward at all.
Guys, guys. Simmer down. thefringthing's got the hot new tech fresh off WotC's presses.
http://gatherer.wizards.com/Handlers...6250&type=card
This thing is on-colour, makes your guy huge, and generates tempo by giving you that extra damage the same turn you cast it, unlike most of the creatures we could be running. This is a Lightning Bolt every turn for the rest of the game no matter what! That means it's better than Sulfuric Vortex, and hence maindeckable. Don't be surprised when Primal Zoo is making up six or seven of the top eight decks week in and week out on the SCG circuit in a few months. Accordingly, I expect Jace to drop to $10 or so.
@Vandalize: I like your list, and I admit that Lightning Helix is a bit of a personal weakness of mine. In Ontario, the Legacy community is less-developed, so most events will be roughly 70% old-school Legacy players (I regularly play against the guys who quite literally put the "Canadian" in "Canadian Threshold") and 30% newcomers playing decks like Burn and Affinity. Helix is my way of conceding the fact that a decent portion of the metagame is going to try to race me. I can't really fault any of your choices though.
@movingtonewao: Thanks for the reply. You're way more polite and constructive than I've learned to expect around here. I was going to abandon this thread for lost, but as long as there are at least a few reasonable contributors, I guess I'll stick around. I'll try to be more patient with people who propose bad ideas, but Esper is an example of a typical sort of internet poster who simply gets angry and doubles down on his bad ideas when told he's wrong.
I'm curious why you think Boros Charm isn't good enough. Did you talk about it a few pages back in the previous discussion? I was similarly disappointed with our Gruul options from Gatecrash, though there might be more in Dragon's Maze. Boros Charm, though, was the one card in the set I was excited about long before the spoilers even started, and it more than lived up to my expectations. I also think RW is a better mana cost than RG for a spell like this (so I'm happy it's Boros and not Gruul Charm that's good), since I typically fetch lands to produce as much Red and White mana as possible, with usually no more than a single green at a time, since I rarely play multiple green cards in a turn (barring a nut-draw that goes Nacatl > Nacatl + Nacatl), but often need to cast multiple removal/burn spells at a time.
I'd be interested in seeing your list. Is your current list posted somewhere in this thread or have you made any recent updates?
@esper3k: You're right in saying that Zoo isn't much of a deck right now. Cutting cards for worse cards is not the solution. If you want to propose a new archetype, that's what the other boards are for. We're here to talk about Wild Nacatl decks, which certainly don't want to be playing cards like Legion Loyalist (who I do think is worthy of consideration for a swarm deck like Goblins, but not a deck like Zoo). Please get some experience with the deck before jumping in and claiming every other aggressive card you see is playable. If you think a card is good and everyone else in the thread is dismissing it, maybe try testing it or playing it (successfully) in an event and get back to us with your results. Just claiming that a card looks good without explaining why it's better than the card it's replacing is worthless. Claiming that Zoo isn't a deck is not a very good justification for randomly changing cards. Belcher's not really a deck either, but you don't see people running to that thread telling them to change it up and run Battle Hymn. You need to justify every card that you add with a card that you plan on removing, and why you think that card needs to be removed. See Vandalize/Me/Mary for a good example of a stock list.
Also, I'm not saying that the stock list is perfect. It's not. It's at a bad place in the metagame right now, and could use some help, and I think there is certainly room to experiment. I thought the discussion of Hidden Herd on the last page was fairly interesting, and I picked up a few last weekend to test out. I'm not sure I like it more than Loam Lion, as it seems to lose value extremely quickly after turn 1, with a relatively small upside. That's a discussion I'd be interested in engaging in, though. There is certainly room to grow with Zoo, but you clearly have no idea of how the deck plays out and what it looks for in a card.
As for the Relic of Progenitus thing, I play 1 Relic because I regularly run into Lands and Aggro Loam players in Legacy events in my area, and Grafdigger's Cage doesn't offer a decent solution to Life from the Loam. I've played stuff like Tormod's Crypt in that slot before, but I find those matchups are more often won with burn spells than beats on the ground, so shrinking my 'Goyfs is less important than drawing an extra card. Mary Jacobson and I have discussed the choice of graveyard hate before, with her preference being Relic as well. See her list here: http://www.wizards.com/magic/magazin...tl12/welcome#9 . Maybe you should tell her about the Relic/Tarmogoyf interaction? I'm sure she didn't notice it on her way to top 16 of the GP.
That said, I don't really think I need to be defending my card choices from someone who thinks Legion Loyalist is playable.
As for me "attempting to come into the thread" to denigrate your bad card choices, until you replied to me yesterday, you hadn't posted here since March of 2011. It's not like you're a regular contributor either. I'm guessing you just showed up to troll me by posting the exact sort of bad card choices I complained about. If so, troll successful. You can go now.
Edit: Esper3k take note. At least thefringthing is funny. :P
Ah, so the guy who's espousing playing the same lists that haven't done well in well, years, is not the guy who's doubling down on bad ideas?
I'm certain because one list did pretty well in a GP means that the entire list is awesome and can't be improved upon, right?
If she wants to post on here about Relic, I have no problems making the same arguments against it to her.
Please refresh my memory, but please direct me to the multitude of Zoo lists, fast, standard, or big that have been making such a big impact on the format that you feel your stock list is good enough?
Also while you're at it, please show us the results in large tournaments you've put up with your stock list to show us all how experienced you are.
========================================================
Given the current trend of decks right now to go towards the midrange (Jund being popular now, the grindy BUG decks, Esper Stoneblade as well), there are a lot of options Zoo can go.
I actually think either going faster in a sligh type build (now we have access to Boros Charm on top of PoP) is fine. Steppe Lynx, while of course a terrible topdeck, is probably the strongest way for a fast Zoo build to abuse Boros Charm's double strike. I personally don't like Steppe Lynx myself, but I can see a fast Zoo build heavy with burn, Nacatl, Tarmogoyf, Goblin Guide, Steppe Lynx as being fairly nasty.
My personal preference is to go the other direction and go with a Big Zoo build. Imo, Punishing Fires is very well positioned in the format right now due to the prevalence of X/2 creatures we're seeing all over the place (Deathrite Shaman, Delver, Dark Confidant, BBE, Shardless Agent, SFM). Of course, PF is also great at breaking Tarmogoyf stalemates (although Big Zoo generally doesn't have that problem since it has Hierarchs and Pridemages). With KoTR + Sylvan Library, you also typically won't have a problem getting your two pieces together.
Another plus to playing Big Zoo is that it also traditionally beats the stock and fast Zoo lists. Historically speaking, Zoo mirrors have been won by players going bigger.
In the day of the Delver, the time of Kird Apes and Loam Lions is simply over.
Dude, you should totally add Armadillo Cloak. Lifelink and Trample too! Plus, really - it's an Armadillo Cloak!Quote:
Originally Posted by thefringthing
Esper, I'm done arguing with you. You're wrong. I promise. Go troll somewhere else.
If this is how you feel, then maybe you should stop posting in the Zoo thread. Zoo is an aggressive deck characterized by its 2 and 3-power one-drops backed up with burn spells. If you want to suggest a new archetype playing different cards, that's what the developing decks board is for. Kindly leave this thread if you have nothing constructive to say about the deck.Quote:
Originally Posted by Esper3k
If you want to talk about big zoo, kindly go talk about it in the big zoo thread: http://www.mtgthesource.com/forums/s...aya-Horizons-*
That's fine, it's not like anything you posted was advancing the deck anyways.Quote:
Originally Posted by Capt4in
Zoo has not always been only 1 drops - lists in the past running Knight of the Reliquary have done fine as well. Zoo lists also commonly play non-creature non-burn spells in the form of other powerful cards such as Sylvan Library or Umezawa's Jitte. Even on the 1 drop end, Steppe Lynxes and Goblin Guides have also seen play in successful Zoo lists of the past.Quote:
If this is how you feel, then maybe you should stop posting in the Zoo thread. Zoo is an aggressive deck characterized by its 2 and 3-power one-drops backed up with burn spells. If you want to suggest a new archetype playing different cards, that's what the developing decks board is for. Kindly leave this thread if you have nothing constructive to say about the deck.
Zoo is an archetype that can be so much more flexible and powerful than your narrow vision of it.
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@Those of you guys experimenting with Hidden Herd: Have you tried Hidden Gibbons instead? That's the more traditionally played of the "Hidden" cards (as far as any of them are really played) and that 4/4 body is significantly better than the 3/3 you get from Herd. While Herd will likely activate more consistently on T1, Gibbons is a better mid-late game draw as well as still being great on T1 (let's see your opponent try and deal with any of your guys without casting an instant).
Sorry esper3k this was arsenal posting not you, my bad.Quote:
Originally Posted by Arsenal
I'm at college sitting through a shitty lecture now, c4ptain il get back to you on why I think boros charm is bad and post a list later. As for esper3k's suggestion of hidden gibbons, it gives me a moment of pause. It could be good in the right meta and warrants testing. Hidden herd has been underwhelming for me if preliminary testing is anything to go by.
Will post again when it's more convenient.
I'm sorry about answering so late. I haven't been on here for a while. The Hidden Herd is a Nacatl on T1 but is a card sitting on the table doing nothing at T3 and on. That's why I decided to replace all of them with Hidden Gibbons for testing purposes(I test on Cockatrice and in my local shop). I played against numerous Decks with it and all I can say is that it's fantastic against RUG Thresh and only goes 4/4 against Combo in the turn they combo out. In my opinion, every deck playing Lightning Bolt(which probably is every deck playing red) hates gibbons since removing a Nacatl to get your opponent a 4/4 doesn't seem like a good choice.Quote:
Originally Posted by groupcelebration
Wrath is absolutely wrong in this deck. You never want to see it except for finishing your opponent. I decided to replace it with Chain Lightning and Helix as you said, and the deck is so mich more consistent now.
The CA and quality i get through Brainstorm is amazing and everyone and their mom plays Delver now and it is amazing for a deck like Zoo(especially Explosive Zoo variants).
Other changes I made: I removed the Steam Vents for hallowed fountain and bought 2 Scalding Tarns to get some more colorfix and cut a Guide for a Sylvan Library. I considered Spell Pierce, RIP, Crypt, Relic, Shushers, Gaddocks and Blasts for the SB.
Since the Tier 1 Decks atm are Miracle, Jund, Mav, Esper etc etc. I won't test the deck at my next local tournament but I'm looking forward to it. I'll probably test it when the Meta shifts to slower decks that don't have the need to run Wastelands.
In b4 shitty idea: I wanted to TEST something new and am currently pretty happy with it(It's pretty good at my local meta)
@ Capt4in,Quote:
Originally Posted by Capt4in
I do like your list, and found your points of discussion as far as the metagame and matchups to be awesome, but can you enlighten me as to why you say that knight is garbage? If you do a search on any deck database site it seems that most if not all of the zoo lists that have done well at big tournaments lately have been running her. Yes, she has gotten worse with the rise of DRS, but I think it is a bit of a stretch to say that she is unplayable.
Edit: Also, can't we all just be cool like Fonzy and discuss cool Zoo stuff without dissing each other? I'm not blaming anybody, and as someone said before we zoo players are too far and few between to divide ourselves.
My issue with the Hidden cards is as always, your opponent gets to choose when they activate. That being said, I think Gibbons is the most playable because of it's big body combined with the triggering condition typically being applicable during all points of the game.Quote:
Originally Posted by Martin
If you can get blue Zoo to work with Delver, more power too you. I feel the deck needs 1-2 more serious 1-drop beaters (so we can finally get rid of Kird Ape / Loam Lion) to be a serious threat again. Delver is the best 1-drop creature available in Legacy right now, but that blue requirement is so rough on the manabase!
The thing about blue zoo is I feel like it will always be a weaker version of RUG Delver. To reliably flip delver you need lots of instants/sorceries, to do that may as well use nimble instead of nacatl, and then we are just playing rug delver.Quote:
Originally Posted by Esper3k
Contemporary Zoo operates like Type 1 Sligh did a dozen years ago. You're looking to maximize your early damage and then finish the game out with burn. Early, that burn can be used as removal to get your creatures through, but as the game progresses, your 1 drops will quickly be outclassed. Therefore, it's paramount that you squeeze as much damage out of your 1 drops as possible before the game hits a state where they're held back by Tarmogoyfs/KotRs/Tombstalkers or where you're simply blitzed by Tendrils of Agony/Griselbrand/Emrakul.
Why is Hidden Herd good and Hidden Gibbons is not, when traditionally it was the other way around? Well, in the past, counter-heavy control decks with very few win conditions and/or blockers were the norm. They represented a large portion of the field and Hidden Gibbons was very good against these decks, coming in before the counter wall came up and punishing your control opponent for using their card draw or counterspells. Now, however, Zoo is not a midrange deck. Midrange decks need to have disruption to survive in the current environment and Naya colors are poorly suited to disruption. Hidden Herd represents another Wild Nacatl. Is it dead after turn 5? Almost always. But if the game has hit turn 5 and you're relying on 1 drop critters to get there, you're already screwed. Something like Steppe Lynx isn't going to serve you any better at that point.
The most difficult Zoo hands for opponents to deal with are the triple Nacatl openings. However, because you're only running 4 Wild Nacatls, those hands are rare. Still, historically, triple Nacatl openings are as close to a "nut draw" as Zoo is going to get. Doubling your available 1 mana 3/3's is huge. The difference between a 3 power creature and a 2 power creature is only slightly smaller than the difference between a 2 power creature and a 1 power creature. That is to say, the difference is enormous.
The Zoo I've been running incorporates blue to really push the 3 power 1 drop theme to the max. It also doesn't hurt to have Brainstorm and Ponder to dig for burn in the mid-game to close things out.
4 Wild Nacatl
4 Hidden Herd
4 Delver of Secrets
4 Tarmogoyf
2 Qasali Pridemage
1 Scavenging Ooze
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Chain Lightning
3 Lightning Helix
2 Fire/Ice
4 Brainstorm
2 Ponder
1 Sylvan Library
4 Wooded Foothills
2 Arid Mesa
2 Scalding Tarn
2 Windswept Heath
3 Taiga
2 Plateau
2 Tropical Island
2 Savannah
1 Tundra
1 Volcanic Island
I've been playing this list (or a very close approximation of, depending on what month we're talking about) since September. It's very good and definitely competitive in the current Legacy format. It stomps a mudhole in the slower midrange-y decks and with a little help from the sideboard (hello, Spell Pierce!), your storm matchup is roughly even, a claim Zoo can't normally make. Show and Tell is still rough, but you can't beat everything.
The point of Hidden Herd is that your opponent doesn't actually have a choice. You play turn 1 Hidden Herd, what are they going to do? Not play a land their first turn? People play very few basics these days, generally being content with being able to fetch for them in order to blank Wasteland. But while fetches will get around Wasteland, playing a fetch will still trigger Herd.Quote:
Originally Posted by Esper3k
Gibbons does have a large body, and if it were as consistent as Herd, that would be a huge advantage. However, as you point out, it's relatively painless for an opponent to just not trigger the Gibbons for a few turns. So many of the relevant cards in the format are sorceries, cards like Ponder, Show and Tell, Hymn to Tourach, etc. If Gibbons were instants and sorceries, then it might be a worthwhile switch. As it stands, however, Hidden Herd is consistent damage. The fact that Gibbons is more relevant in the late game is actually irrelevant (irrelevant relevance, I like it). In the late game, your entire deck is irrelevant. Who are you playing against where you're planning on going late? You either win early or you lose. Topdecking Hidden Herd on turn 6 is only slightly worse than topdecking Turd Ape, but Hidden Herd in your opening has a far greater value. Based on the style of the deck, there's not even really a question about it.
Even if you don't want to delve into blue for another 1 drop, you should be running Hidden Herd over Ape or Lion.
I do agree Herd is more consistent than Gibbons, but the argument for Gibbons is that if you drop it early, they're going to have to trigger it to deal with your (presumably) other attackers you'll be dropping. If they're avoiding playing instants to keep from triggering Gibbons, then that means that your guys will generally still be staying alive and so you should be ok with that situation anyways.Quote:
Originally Posted by SpikeyMikey
That being said... has anyone considered playing both?
Change or die, or just wait for the meta to come back around to suit your deck I guess.Quote:
Originally Posted by Capt4in
Personally I agree that Big Zoo with P. Fires looks a lot more promising in this meta. Having access to much larger threats, GSZ, and a recurring damage engine means your day doesn't just end if Batterskull or Terminus hits the table. More mana also means you have access to things like Elspeth, Thrun, and Scooze. You still play a much higher threat count than Maverick, so Abrupt Decay on a Knight or Goyf isn't the end of the day. It also gives you a much more reasonable mid-game plan than turning into a burn deck with really terrible topdecks.
Really, if you're thinking of it as "(in most cases) a better burn deck than burn", why run Kird Ape over Goblin Guide?
Hm, your list is pretty sweet; and it appears you've found a way to support flipping delver at least most of the time. I would love to see what a current sideboard would look like for that deck.Quote:
Originally Posted by SpikeyMikey
Hidden Herd also grows Tarmogoyf if answered. I think I'm in love. I'll definetely replace Loam Lion with it.
List:
Lands [19]
4 Wooded Foothills
4 Arid Mesa
2 Windswept Heath
3 Taiga
2 Plateau
1 Savannah
1 Plains
1 Forest
1 Mountain
Creatures [23]
4 Wild Nacatl
4 Hidden Herd
4 Kird Ape
4 Tarmogoyf
4 Qasali Pridemage
3 Grim Lavamancer
Spells [18]
4 Lightning Bolt
4 Chain Lightning
4 Path to Exile
3 Boros Charm
2 Sylvan Library
1 Umezawa's Jitte
Sideboard [15]
4 Leyline of Sanctity
3 Red Elemental Blast
3 Grafdigger's Cage
2 Pithing Needle
2 Ancient Grudge
1 Krosan Grip
Quote:
Originally Posted by ironclad8690
19 instants and sorceries isn't terrible for blind-flipping and when 6 of them dig, it makes it appreciably easier. Generally, unless the mana is somehow wonky (and that's rare with 21 lands and 0 Wastes), I go Hidden Herd --> Wild Nacatl --> Delver of Secrets for my play order. Herd obviously decreases in value rapidly, Nacatl is only slightly worse than Herd on turn 1 and Delver on turn 1 means you need an upkeep Brainstorm to reliably get 3 on turn 2 and that means best case, you're only dropping 1 more 1 drop on turn 2, which slows your clock. Sometimes, that's all you've got anyway, but I'd rather drop one of the other two and give myself a chance to rip a 3rd 1 drop; the flying isn't really relevant on turn 2 anyway as the most common blocker on turn 2 is DRS and people don't want to block with those.
In Denver, it was:
3 Spell Pierce
3 Rest in Peace
3 Krosan Grip
2 Red Elemental Blast
2 Stony Silence
2 Sulfuric Vortex
Of course, I had a miserable outing in Denver too, going 3-4 drop, but them's the breaks. I was expecting more Storm than Show and Tell and lost to a pair of Sneak and Shows, LED Dredge and a BUG deck (which is pretty rare) The side event on Sunday wasn't particularly great either, going 4-3, but in all fairness, there were 5 rounds vs. combo and only 2 vs. fair decks (BUG and Zombardment), both of which I stomped. Vortex was there for Stoneblade and Miracles, since they don't present an appreciable clock and it stops Batterskull shenanigans. I never saw a single Counterbalance the entire weekend, making K. Grip pretty terrible, but I don't think you can afford to cut it as CounterTop just locks you out cold. Anything not running Wasteland, I generally board out one of the Taigas. If I'm feeling really ballsy, I'll board out the 2nd Trop as well. 21 lands is a bit heavy for a deck with a curve that stops at 2, but since Stifle has been making a comeback and Wastelands are everywhere in the tempo decks (who will beat you if they can lock your mana out for a few turns and get 'goyfs on the board), it's safer for a G1 configuration.
Esper: I tried Gibbons very briefly last summer when I first designed the deck. Maybe things have changed a bit but at the time, it was where Vexing Devil is in Standard. When it would be useful as a 4 power creature, they'll sit a turn or two, which sets them back slightly, but most decks in this format can handle creatures by turn 3 or 4, so it sets you back immensely. Either they're killing you at that point, they've set up a juicy Terminus, they've got Energy Field, they're dropping Batterskull or some other such nonsense. I plan that by turn 3, I'm going to be on the "throw lightning at your face" plan. Unless I'm playing against combo, I play this deck as an all-in deck. Jam as much damage as I can as fast as I can. Against combo, obviously, it's helpful to leave REB/Pierce mana up after turn 2 (or turn 1 on the draw, but being on the draw vs. combo sucks!). Sometimes, I'll get mashed by the turn 2 SnT Emra, but just as often, they actually have to dig for it and leaving mana up early sets your clock back appreciably. If you've got 6 on the battlefield on turn 2, you're looking at a 5 turn clock (3 on 2, 9 on 3, 15 on 4 and 21 on 5); 9 on the field on turn 2 is a 4 turn clock (3/12/21). That's also why I don't run any 2 power creatures. Dropping 3 Kird Apes by turn 2 is the same as dropping 2 "Nacatls" and that full turn difference in speed is huge. Against Goblins, for example, if you can keep them on the back foot the entire time and blocking so they don't die, you'll win the game. Goblins are terrible on the defensive. On the other hand, if they can switch roles, you can't defend against their massive card advantage and finishers. A hand of 2 lands and 5 burn spells will buy you time, but eventually, if you don't have the creatures to put the pressure on, they'll refill with Ringleaders, drop an unanswered Krenko or SGC and maul you to death.