Originally Posted by
Mzfroste
Played 2 Leagues yesterday with a red (pyroblast) splash. Went 4-1, then 5-0, with my loss being to deathblade. Had trouble hitting any payoff spells to pull me ahead, and then the turn I could cast Verdict it got stripped by clique. Then I mulled to 5, so tough beats but I didn't feel it was a typical game. But I suppose I've had some wins that weren't typical for my opponents.
I wanted to test the blasts since I felt that this deck was having a tough time against the grindy blue midrange / control decks, but specifically other Jaces and Leovold. And then of course there are all the other things worth pyroblasting that we see often, like Snapcater, Delver, Show and Tell, True-Name, and protecting our payoff cards from FOW, that makes it worth running. Basically everything that made the red splash the correct decision pre-ban other than counterbalance. So the obvious problem is what to cut for it. I decided to cut the surgicals and the second clique from the board for 3 blasts. One thing that has been really driven home for me testing this deck is that Counterbalance can't be adequetley replaced for every matchup it was important, and we'll just have to stomach it that some formally good matchups aren't anymore, and ask ourselves how far and how many cards are we willing to dedicate to fixing those matchups, at the sacrifice of others. I think that not only are there more matchups where blasts are important over surgical (obviously), but also those matchups are both more common, and the win percentage increase we get from blasts is enough to make torpedoing the matchups that depended on surgical (Lands mostly, though BR Reanimator will get a bit more dicey) worth it from a net wins perspective. Some people recommended cutting the priests, I also considered cutting a disenchant or the 2nd ETA, and those might be correct choices, but I was curious to test a build that had made the matchup tradeoff and see how I felt, and I can say I definetley would've lost 2 of these wins of out of 10 without the blasts, and potentially 2 the draws had gone differently for them. Where as there was only 1 matchup where I wanted Surgical (Ant), and Surgical has always been the last and least powerful disruption spell, or atleast most inconsistent, that I brought against them. And it was still a win.
The actual matchups were, in the first league, were 2-1 against Red Splash w/ Chalice DnT, 0-2 vs Deathblade, 2-0 vs UR Delver, 2-1 against BG Depths, and 2-0 vs Nic Fit. The second league was 2-1 vs the mirror with red for Nahiri / Blasts, 2-1 vs Ant, 2-0 vs Bug Delver with TNN and Leovold main, 2-0 vs Bug Delver, and 2-1 vs 4c Control.
This was the list
4 Portent
4 Ponder
4 Brainstorm
4 Predict
4 Fow
3 Counterspell
3 JTMS
3 Snapcater
3 STP
3 Terminus
2 UA
1 Supreme Verdict
1 ETA
1 Vendilion Clique
20 Lands, 4 Island, 2 Plains 3 Tundra 3 Volc, 8 Fetches
SB
3 Ethersworn Canonist
3 Flusterstorm
3 Pyroblast
2 Containment Priest
1 STP
1 Disenchant
1 Council's Judgement
1 ETA
The next 2 changes I want to test are a further red splash for Blood Moon, as it's also good against these grindy Bug / 4 Color decks that are resurging, as well as Deathblade which is definetely the toughest matchup I've been having with this deck, as well as Lands, which I do think I wouldn't be able to beat with this list. I'd probably cut the ETA as I only bring it in against those especially grindy decks, but find myself not really needing it, as I need Jace out to comfortably set it up, and once I've got control of the board with Jace, 1 is enough. The other cut I wouldn't be sure, maybe the disenchant, maybe a blast. Maybe cut something from the main to move the 4th stp back there and free up a spot that way. The second change would just be going to a 2-2 split on Terminus and Verdict, I really really like the singleton, though I do still find myself wanted the Terminus, but that change is less urgent. I also want to see if it would be better to cut the ETA over the surgical for the 3rd blast.
Anyways those are my thoughts, love to hear opinions.