DTBF Philosophy & Deck Selection

October 2018 Update

The report of my death was an exaggeration, the reports on Death's Shadow on the other hand...

http://i.imgur.com//eStHcZR.png
http://i.imgur.com/dbHcpY8.png

A higher point total in a few months. 3144 points total with a cut off at 145. That gives us a total of 5 decks.

• Grixis Control
• Miracle Control
• Eldrazi
• Sneak and Show
• Grixis Pyro

So, we gain Sneak and Boredom as well as Pyro. We lost UB Shadow, DnT and ANT. That's one of the more active changes we have had in a while.

November 2018 Update

The Elves go marching to war, meet as of untold Depths. I wonder what could be trapped under that ice?

http://i.imgur.com/ca8fSJD.png
http://i.imgur.com/D8izJWc.png

3007 points for the month. Names Bond, Tri Bond. Anyway, cut of is 138, so we have 8 decks.

• Miracle Control
• Eldrazi
• Grixis Control
• Turbo Depths
• Sneak and Show
• ANT
• DnT
• Elves!

We lose Pyro while gaining the heretics, Storm, DnT and some of Robin Hoods archers. Seems like a fair trade to me. Also to note, Stax got 6 points this month. Go Stax. You keep trying and one day you might even be a tire 3 deck again.

December 2018 Update

Sorry I am late, I will try not to do this again.

http://i.imgur.com/uXlimlc.png
http://i.imgur.com/PmmS1SZ.png

2824 total with a cut at 130. That leaves us with 9 decks. 9. Wow.

• Grixis Pyro
• Miracle Control
• Eldrazi
• Sneak and Show
• ANT
• Turbo Depths
• Grixis Control
• DnT
• U/R Delver

We lose Elves and gain Pyro and UR Delver. Poor elves.
We lose Pyro while gaining the heretics, Storm, DnT and some of Robin Hoods archers. Seems like a fair trade to me. Also to note, Stax got 6 points this month. Go Stax. You keep trying and one day you might even be a tire 3 deck again.

January 2019 Update

And the new year arrives too... more of the same. Its' more of the same. Hey, you play Legacy, its basically the motto of the format.

http://i.imgur.com/6yAKUoR.png
http://i.imgur.com/3OV7s5E.png

2576 total with a cut at 119. That leaves us with 7 decks. But DnT and Eldrazi are close enough I will include them too.

• Miracle Control
• Blade Control... What? Where the hell did you come from?
• ANT
• Grixis Control
• Turbo Depths
• Sneak and Show
• Grixis Pyro
• DnT
• Eldrazi

Out goes U/R, DnT and Eldrazi. Officially at least. In comes Blade control? What the hell? Hey you do you. I hate Batterskull as much as the next guy, but you do you.

February 2019 Update

No matter where you are I hope you find solace in Legacy.

http://i.imgur.com/CE5zbvz.png
http://i.imgur.com/wvWM3Ko.png

3013 this month. That's high that normal of late, something I am glad to see. The cut off lands at 138.6 and Pyro is 138. I think I will just give it to them. With Pyro that is 7 decks.

• Miracle Control
• Blade Control... Still hear? Shit I think I will have to plan around it.
• DnT
• Eldrazi
• Grixis Control
• ANT
• Grixis Pyro

We say goodbye to SnT (Woot) and the Heretics that follow the path of Turbo Depths (Lands is a deck guys, you can worship our Queen while following the one truth path). All in all it feels like nothing changed this month. Well other than the number 8 spot was Red Stompy. Keep an eye open for them, they have been picking up online these last few weeks.

March 2019 Update

Good thing that top got banned and Miracles went away.

http://i.imgur.com/yLtQwtl.png
http://i.imgur.com/HiTEXMC.png

4089 this month. Big month. The cut off is 188 meaning that Red Stompy misses but a whisker. Almost had 7 decks this month.

• Miracle Control
• UR Delver
• DnT
• Blade Control
• Grixis Control
• Turbo Depths

So, coming out is Eldrazi, ANT and Grixis Pyro. Coming in is UR Delver and some silly list of cards that uses Depths in a heretical way. Curse them.

April 2019 Update

Wait what! DnT did what? Finn, explain yourself.

http://i.imgur.com/lHD0h2g.png
http://i.imgur.com/4WohIQc.png

3525 for the month giving us with 7 decks with the cut at 162. Top billing going to DnT? What the fuck? Ok.

• DnT
• Miracle Control
• UR Delver
• Grixis Control
• Blade Control
• ANT
• SnT

We lost Depths while gaining ANT and SnT. If that new Mull rule comes in expect to see a lot of SnT and RB. I dont think SnT is going away.

May 2019 Update

I know sometimes I fuck this up, but I hope I can spell the month of May without any issues. Here is to hoping right?

http://i.imgur.com/j24vUBd.png
http://i.imgur.com/hBP8wVy.png

So we drop to a kind of low, 2992. Thats the kind of low I am happy to have. Cut off is 138 leaving us with 6 decks and ANT just missing out.

• Miracle Control
• DnT
• Grixis Control
• UR Delver
• Blade Control
• Eldrazi

So we lost SnT and ANT (Only just on ANT) while picking up Eldrazi. Though I wonder how much of the Edrazi we are seeing right now is that new post build. That thing is nuts.

June 2019 Update

Lets get this show back on the road.

http://i.imgur.com/k4QGZFE.png
http://i.imgur.com/l3w81FL.png

June was 3658, cut at 168.

• UR Delver
• Grixis Control
• Miracle Control
• Blade Control
• DnT
• Turbo Depths

July 2019 Update

And now.

http://i.imgur.com/SiCHgkt.png
http://i.imgur.com/kxyFNjN.png

And now we have a cut of 3173, cut off at 146. With 5 decks making the cut. Lands only one point out, so I will shift it in too.

• UR Delver
• RuG Delver
• Miracle Control
• Turbo Depths
• 4c Delver
• Lands

March Update:
https://i.imgur.com/JUCFzMq.png
https://i.imgur.com/EBxCkBx.png


So, this month has both suppressed results, from the ongoing fact that the pandemic has all but eliminated all paper results, and the fact of the number one deck there being Banned already.


So, computationally, our outcome should be a cutoff of 54 points. Since results were low, I don't think we got the full divergence we usually would, since that would give us a "top" 11 decks (minus one banned), and I think even 10 is too many.


As I result, I am going to just take the "next" top 8 decks, giving us:
Death and Taxes
Miracles
UR Delver
BUG Midrange/Control
Eldrazi
RUG Delver
4C Control
OmniTell

Oh how a month changes things! With some help from a busted new mechanic, of course. April 2020:


https://i.imgur.com/LvOJ3xP.png
https://i.imgur.com/cRBq63e.png


Again, suppressed results from lack of paper event, and so on. Computationally, we should be about 41 points. However, honestly, it doesn't seem, to me, that Omni is really dominating or doing much. So, I am going to cut to the top 8.


4C Control (Snowko, Czech Pile and more!)
Grixis Tempo
RUG Delver
Eldrazi Stompy
ANT
Patriot Delver
BUG Delver
Bomberman

So, May of 2020, results are still all over, due to suppressed paper play, still, and the whole Companion debacle.

https://i.imgur.com/9PiWBSI.png
https://i.imgur.com/7bu9G92.png

The question is, what now? While Grixis and TA results were mainly fueled by the now banned Lurrus, even post post ban, Grixis has put up results. TA has not. So, I am inclined to cut TA. Our computational level should be about 37 points, but, like has been usual, our suppressed results has not given us much divergence. RUG Delver is in, along with Miracles, Infect, 4c and Lands. Now, "Fish" is actually Esper Vial and that clearly has enough points.

Also, I am inclined to exclude Gyruda for the moment, until the deck demonstrates that it can win through the Companion rule change.

RUG Delver
Grixis Delver
4c Control
Miracles
Infect
R/G Lands

We don't have a thread for a real Esper Vial deck. I could reuse Bahra's Spicy Popcorn thread, but that hardly is the same deck. Might just have to hold off on that deck while I work up a thread.

New year, new process I am going to try. Since we are still in a low-data era and likely to stay in one, I am going to do a bi-monthly analysis for this year.

So, with this new process (I had to manually merge the data), here is what the cutoff looks like with November and December 2020's data:

1º	4c Control	102		24º	Infect	22
2º	Death and Taxes	95		25º	Lands	21
3º	Other	83		26º	Reanimator	21
4º	Temur Delver	68		27º	Eldrazi Stompy	20
5º	Hogaak	66		28º	Temur	19
6º	Elves	59		29º	4c Loam	17
7º	Red Prison	56		30º	Turbo Depths	17
8º	Goblins	52		31º	Jeskai	16
9º	Grixis Delver	40		32º	Merfolks	15
10º	Ninjas	40		33º	Dredge	14
11º	All Spells	39		34º	UBx Shadow	14
12º	Aluren	38		35º	Painters	13
13º	OmniTell	35		36º	Pox	13
14º	Cephalid Breakfast	34		37º	Sultai Delver	8
15º	Burn	33		38º	Deadguy Ale	7
16º	Bant	32		39º	Miracles	7
17º	12 Post	31		40º	Ad Nauseam Tendrils	6
18º	Mill	31		41º	Bomberman	6
19º	Maverick	29		42º	Enchantress	6
20º	Stoneblade	28		43º	Esper Vial	6
21º	Doomsday	27		44º	Grixis Control	6
22º	Izzet Delver	25		45º	Lutri Deck	6
23º	Urza	23			Total:	1346
					Cutoff:	47.11

So, this means we have 7 Decks to Beat:
4C Control
Death and Taxes
RUG Delver
Hogaak (Placeholder thread, seems we don't actually have a dedicated Hogaak thread?)
Elves
Dragon/Red/Moon Stompy
Goblins

Also if anyone knows a more appropriate thread for Hogaak (or wants to make a Primer for it), let me know.

As always comment, criticism, or questions are welcome in the open thread here.

OK, here we go, the combined data for January and February of 2021. Obviously with Valki getting hit with the Cascade nerf-bat, I did not consider it, so we will take the other top 8 decks:

1º	Temur Delver	86		27º	Turbo Depths	25
2º	Ninjas	77		28º	Sultai	22
3º	Death and Taxes	70		29º	Merfolks	21
4º	All Spells	61		30º	Doomsday	19
5º	Valki Cascade	61		31º	Mono Black	15
6º	Elves	57		32º	Urza	15
7º	Aluren	56		33º	Bomberman	14
8º	OmniTell	54		34º	Mill	14
9º	Maverick	50		35º	Hogaak	13
10º	4c Control	49		36º	Mono Blue	13
11º	Jeskai	47		37º	Slivers	13
12º	Dredge	45		38º	Buried Phoenix	9
13º	Stoneblade	45		39º	Deadguy Ale	9
14º	Other	42		40º	Tin Fins	9
15º	12 Post	40		41º	Sultai Delver	8
16º	Burn	40		42º	UBx Shadow	8
17º	Bant	39		43º	Esper Vial	7
18º	Turbo Depths	38		44º	Food Chain	7
19º	Infect	36		45º	Sneak and Show	7
20º	Eldrazi Stompy	34		46º	The Epic Storm	7
21º	Red Prison	34		47º	Jund	6
22º	Cephalid Breakfast	33		48º	Landstill	6
23º	Izzet Delver	33		49º	Mono Black Aggro	6
24º	Goblins	30		50º	Pox	6
25º	Temur	30		51º	Tibalt Cascade	6
26º	Reanimator	27

Our cut-off here is 51 points, meaning that Maverick just makes it and 4C Control just misses.
RUG Delver
Ninjas!
Death & Taxes
Oops, All Spells!
Elves!
Aluren
Omnitell
Maverick


As always, I welcome any comments, questions or concerns. Interesting results that, having not really looked into the data, would not quite have expected.

March, April, May, June 2021 merged:

1º	Izzet Delver	235		29º	Tin Fins	37
2º	Death and Taxes	200		30º	UBx Shadow	31
3º	Elves	189		31º	Eldrazi Stompy	30
4º	Ninjas	150		32º	4c Loam	29
5º	Turbo Depths	121		33º	Doomsday	29
6º	Reanimator	90		34º	Landstill	28
7º	Miracles	85		35º	Esper Vial	26
8º	OmniTell	85		36º	Pox	23
9º	Maverick	68		37º	Sultai	23
10º	Other	66		38º	Grixis Delver	22
11º	Stoneblade	66		39º	The Epic Storm	22
12º	Lands	65		40º	Nic Fit	17
13º	Sneak and Show	65		41º	12 Post	16
14º	Temur Delver	64		42º	Humans	16
15º	Food Chain	57		43º	Mill	16
16º	Infect	54		44º	MUD	15
17º	Burn	51		45º	Esper	14
18º	Dredge	50		46º	Slivers	14
19º	Painters	49		47º	Bomberman	13
20º	All Spells	46		48º	Deadguy Ale	13
21º	4c Control	45		49º	Jeskai	11
22º	Ad Nauseam Tendrils	41		50º	Affinity	9
23º	Goblins	41		51º	Jund	8
24º	Hogaak	40		52º	Buried Phoenix	7
25º	Cephalid Breakfast	39		53º	Enchantress	7
26º	Aluren	38		54º	Merfolks	6
27º	Red Prison	38		55º	Mono Black	6
28º	Grixis Control	37

Oh boy, that was a good bit a data. Seemed fairly clear, aside the nebulous category of "Bant" which really were all Miracles decks, that just happen to run Green. So, with that merged, Miracles makes it (which makes perfect sense, really). Clean cut off too, 90.5 points, giving us a clear top 8. Sorry Maverick, :frown: (still love you).


UR Delver
Death & Taxes
Elves!
Ninjas
Turbo Depths
BR Reanimator
Miracles
Omnitell

One thing to note, is that right now, TCDecks has GW Depths decks merged with Turbo Depths decks. For right now, I am going to leave it, we also have no thread for GW Depths, so no real conflict as of yet. But something to keep an eye on for future results.