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Thread: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

  1. #101

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Cire View Post
    Hmm is that right - what are the chances for 20 power? Lets say you have the Mage in play and cast Sprite and then attack . . . your first chance is 0.4375 [Using "(A or B) = p(A) + p(B) – p(A and B)" so X = .25+.25-(.25*.25) - do I have that right?] Second chance is .73 (X = .25+.25+.25-(.25*.25*.25)). Repeat 20 times and then multiply them all together? How does that work? By my count once you hit five sprites you are guaranteed a critical so . . . the odds are .4375*.73*.996 or .31 for "infinite". Still too low to base a strategy around but fun to think about.
    The math is 14% You get to to 20 and once you get there it's less than a couple hundredths of a percent that you cant reach any arbitrary number

  2. #102

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Cire View Post
    Hmm is that right - what are the chances for 20 power?
    Getting to 20 is also about 14%. Most of the stopping happens on the first few rolls

    FWIW, 15-20 is 6 possibilities out of 20, so the chance to fizzle is in powers of 0.7.

  3. #103
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Demilich is a playable.

    It's Entombable (kinda), discardable, Boltable.. and its basically a Hypnotic Specter for a turn with a Thoughtseize in the bin. The attack trigger + a removal spell looks good as well, play removal lower the cost, then play the removal next turn. Its attack trigger isn't a may. Playing it from the graveyard looks heavy. 4 Instants and/or Sorceries is a lot.
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  4. #104

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Vacrix View Post
    ...
    4 Instants and/or Sorceries is a lot.
    Seems like it could work OK sharing a deck with Arclight Phoenix.

  5. #105

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    4x drc
    4x ragavan
    4x demilitch
    4x arclight pheonix
    4x faithless looting
    4x careful study
    4x ponder
    4x brainstorm
    3x lightning bolt
    4x lavadart
    4x force
    4x dae
    12 lands

  6. #106
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Vacrix View Post
    Demilich is a playable.
    Yeah. This card and Wish have piqued my interest.
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  7. #107

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Class cards (enchantments with level up that resemble sagas) are coming.

    E:

  8. #108
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by FourDogsinaHorseSuit View Post
    Class cards (enchantments with level up that resemble sagas) are coming.


    God do I want a dice deck to work out
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  9. #109

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Cire View Post


    God do I want a dice deck to work out
    If only these were coinflips... RIP Mana Clash wins.

  10. #110

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Cire View Post
    ...

    God do I want a dice deck to work out
    Barbarian and Pixie Guides is a pretty strong package for improving D20 rolls, but the payoffs are weak, and I won't be surprised if Delina is the only card that can mass produce rolls.

  11. #111

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Yeah you kinda really need a cantrip that rolls!

    Something like an rng Serum Visions.
    On the low end 1-7 it just scrys on the high end it draws 2 at 20 Recall!!
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  12. #112
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by rufus View Post
    Barbarian and Pixie Guides is a pretty strong package for improving D20 rolls, but the payoffs are weak, and I won't be surprised if Delina is the only card that can mass produce rolls.
    As I'm terrible at math - what's the percentage for 20 with an attacking Delina and barbarian class and pixie in play?
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  13. #113
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews



    Are their enough cheap RG legends to make this even sort of worth it?
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  14. #114
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews


    How about this Rogue Class? The first ability looks worth it by itself if you have some kind of creature-based mill deck.
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  15. #115
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Cire View Post


    Are their enough cheap RG legends to make this even sort of worth it?
    RG is a weak color combination is general, so no.

    But see for yourself if you can find anything worthwhile.

  16. #116

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by the Thin White Duke View Post
    How about this Rogue Class? The first ability looks worth it by itself if you have some kind of creature-based mill deck.
    How often will that ability do more than - say - Glimpse the Unthinkable?

  17. #117

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Cire View Post
    As I'm terrible at math - what's the percentage for 20 with an attacking Delina and barbarian class and pixie in play?
    Approximate chances to go infinite (or hit 20) starting with:

    1 pixie: .141
    2 pixie: .276
    3 pixie: .421
    4 pixie: .554
    5 pixie: .666
    6 pixie: .755
    7 pixie: .823
    8 pixie: .873

  18. #118

    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    Quote Originally Posted by Barook View Post
    RG is a weak color combination is general, so no.

    ...
    That's not a great search.

    For example, Mox Amber is a legendary spell so it will work with Bard, but isn't going to show up in that search.

    Rograkh, Son of Rohgahh, Oath of Nissa,Zurgo Bellstriker, and Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer could work with the bard class and don't show up either.

  19. #119
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews

    I guess you can do something dumb with Omanth?

    1 - Land - Ignoble Hierarch
    2 - Land - Bard + Noble Hierarch
    3 - Uptick Bard - Oath of Nissa for 4C Omnath or Nivmizet - 4C Omnath for UW (draw a card) + Fetch (Gain 4 life) + Crack Fetch (Get RGUW - so now you have 7 open mana . . .) + cast Nivmizet for 3 (4 open mana) + Stuff your deck with random good multicolored legends that have R or G and CMC = 2 and cast hopefully 4 and hope that's enough gas or threat on board to win the game next round? (or if you can go up to 3 cmc and cast 2-4 such cards)

    Best I got at the moment . . . .
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  20. #120
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    Re: D&D (Maybe Better Off) Forgotten Realms Previews



    Taxing and pump a bit later. Doesn't sound too bad.



    There might be some shenanigans with stuff like Mutavault/Changeling creatures. Your Sigarda, if you have the mana, is an ideal target as well since she's hexproof herself and prevents sac effects.

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