Yeah that's fair. Admittedly the comparison to Counterbalance was a bit far fetched, but my point was mostly that they have plenty of ways to circumvent counter magic between Vial and Cavern (and SFM if you're talking about Jitte). More on Burn below.
I went back and looked up some old Tom Ross articles on the subject of sideboarding. The most recent article is dated from 2015, but it doesn't look like Burn and DnT have changed too much since then. Article can be found here.
With that in mind, I think I'll give the Forces against Burn another try. In recent memory, I've run a pretty dedicated white splash with upwards of 3x Swords to Plowshares, plus stuff like Absolute Law and Mother of Runes that all help a tremendous amount with the matchup. Without those cards, however, I can definitely see how the Forces are more necessary.
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